肝移植术后谵妄的危险因素分析及预测指标评估

Risk factor analysis and predictors assessment for postoperative delirium in liver transplantation

  • 摘要:
      目的  分析肝移植术后谵妄(POD)的相关危险因素和预测指标。
      方法  回顾性分析232例肝移植受者的临床资料。根据有否POD将受者分为POD组(60例)和非POD组(172例)。比较两组肝移植受者的术中及术后情况,对肝移植受者POD发生的危险因素进行多因素分析,评估危险因素对肝移植受者发生POD的预测价值。
      结果  肝移植受者POD发生率为25.9%。POD组手术时间、无肝期长于非POD组,术中红细胞输注量、冷沉淀输注量、乳酸水平均明显高于非POD组(均为P < 0.05);POD组术后丙氨酸转氨酶(ALT)、天冬氨酸转氨酶(AST)、凝血酶原时间国际标准化比值(PT-INR)、血浆纤维蛋白原均明显高于非POD组(均为P < 0.05)。术前肝性脑病、血氨升高、终末期肝病模型(MELD)评分高,术后AST升高,术中无肝期长是肝移植受者发生POD的独立危险因素(均为P < 0.05)。术前血氨升高和MELD评分高对肝移植受者发生POD具有良好的预测价值,最佳截取值分别为42.6 μmol/L和18分,灵敏度分别为0.650和0.767,特异度分别为0.826和0.727。
      结论  肝移植受者POD发生率较高,其中术前肝性脑病、血氨升高、MELD评分高,术后AST升高,术中无肝期长为肝移植POD发生的独立危险因素。术前血氨升高、MELD评分高是预测受者发生POD的预测指标。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective  To analyze the risk factors and predictors related to postoperative delirium(POD) in liver transplantation.
      Methods  The clinical data of 232 liver transplant recipients were retrospectively analyzed. Recipients were assigned to POD group (n=60) and non-POD (n=172) group according to the presence of POD. The intra- and post-operative conditions were compared between the two groups of liver transplant recipients. The risk factors for occurrence of POD in liver transplant recipients were analyzed using multifactorial analysis. And the value of predicting the occurrence of POD in liver transplant recipients according to the risk factors were assessed.
      Results  The incidence of POD in liver transplant recipients was 25.9%. The operation time and anhepatic phase in the POD group were longer than those in the non-POD group. Intraoperative infusion of erythrocyte, infusion of cryoprecipitate, and lactic acid level were higher than those in the non-POD group (all P < 0.05). The levels of postoperative alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), prothrombin time international normalized ratio (PT-INR), and plasma fibrinogen in the POD group were significantly higher than those in the non-POD group (all P < 0.05). Preoperative hepatic encephalopathy, elevated blood ammonia, high score of model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), elevated postoperative AST level and long intraoperative anhepatic phase were the independent risk factors for POD in liver transplant recipients (all P < 0.05). Preoperative elevated blood ammonia and high MELD score showed profound value in predicting the occurrence of POD in liver transplant recipients, with best cut-off values of 42.6 μmol/L and 18 points, sensitivity of 0.650 and 0.767 as well as specificity of 0.826 and 0.727, respectively.
      Conclusions  The incidence of POD is high in liver transplant recipients. Preoperative hepatic encephalopathy, elevated blood ammonia, high MELD score, elevated postoperative AST level, and long intraoperative anhepatic phase are independent risk factors for liver transplant POD. Preoperative elevated blood ammonia and high MELD score are predictors of POD in transplant recipients.

     

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